STATESHIFT
Internal working draft
1 October 2026 · Pacific

What to make.
Where to find customers.

Five specific creative formats to test, with direct references and performance signals. Three repeatable acquisition channels, ranked for Stateshift.

5 competitors · 40 sourced observations · 102 archived ads

Revised recommendation · 1 October

Test different formats first.

Start with a useful carousel, an actual product demonstration and a short sensation POV. Compare the formats before spending a production cycle on three similar opening lines.

Run a small practitioner-referral pilot alongside the creative work. NSM’s existing practitioner relationships make this a particularly relevant route to test.

Watch the actual creatives.

Five complete videos with sound and playback controls, plus two carousel-cover screenshots. Each sits beside its performance evidence and a specific Stateshift test.

Three repeatable growth channels.

Ranked for Stateshift’s assets and ability to test. These are proposed pilots, with historical results attributed to their sources.

Five competitors, distinct evidence.

Paid creator content, product positioning and historical examples are labelled separately. An available post is not proof of paid amplification.

CompetitorMessage already occupiedObserved execution / CTAWhat to test for Stateshift

Rootd has two active Meta ads verified on 1 October. The other non-Condri profiles mainly describe product positioning. Full competitor inventories and paid acquisition economics remain unverified.

Earlier contextual hypotheses.

Retained from the first pass. The format tests above now take priority; after-work framing is one possible execution, not a proven winning angle.

Inspect the evidence.

Open each observation for provenance, dates and limits. Views are public metadata, sometimes rounded, and never a revenue proxy.

Excluded evidence
Earlier execution draft · optional product-demo variant

Download the brief

Three hooks. One shared body.

Shared sequence

Production

    Claims and permissions

      Measurement

        Before launch

          Reuse the existing archive.

          The 6 September AppKittie collection: 102 ad records, 71 distinct creative files. It is a dated comparison set, not a current-ad feed for the five competitors above.

          Refresh, review, repeat.

          Run on demand. There is no scheduled job or unattended publishing process.

          What is automated

          1. Refresh the known public pages and exact TikTok URLs. Retrieve metadata only; no new media download.
          2. Save a dated snapshot. Preserve each source’s last successful comparison hash if it becomes unavailable.
          3. Flag changed text or captions and failed reads. Keep curated observations separate from fresh retrieval timestamps.
          4. Rebuild this page and the Markdown brief from the canonical research file.

          What still needs review

          Discover new posts; inspect video/audio and paid-partnership labels; reconsider the hypotheses; update the brief; verify rights, attribution and budget before a launch. Reddit sources are reviewed manually and retained only as aggregate themes.

          Refresh status

          Commands

          From the Stateshift repository, using Python 3 and the existing curl / yt-dlp installation:

          python3 "Notes/Creative Intelligence/creative_loop.py" validate
          python3 "Notes/Creative Intelligence/creative_loop.py" refresh
          python3 "Notes/Creative Intelligence/creative_loop.py" build

          To recheck just one source:

          python3 "Notes/Creative Intelligence/creative_loop.py" refresh --source condri_home

          After inspecting a flagged source and updating research.json where needed:

          python3 "Notes/Creative Intelligence/creative_loop.py" acknowledge --source SOURCE_ID --note "What was checked and changed"

          A source staying unchanged does not clear an earlier review task. An explicit acknowledgement records the review without pretending the original creative observation was made again.

          Next research pass